Tennis · resolved market
Antalya: Carole Monnet vs Panna Udvardy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cff831d324469a0a465ac5e504187991f212f3d3c531db279ffd8c327d2b481
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Udvardyof Monnet, Udvardy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Monnet | 44c | 3,410$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Udvardy | 56c | 1,570$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.08 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Udvardy | 55c | 1,288$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.77 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Monnet | 40c | 1,246$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.03 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Monnet | 8c | 601.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Udvardy | 59c | 544.05$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.06 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Udvardy | 63c | 426.2$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.13 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Monnet | 23c | 349.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Udvardy | 63c | 348.85$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.06 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Udvardy | 61c | 249.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Udvardy | 77c | 248$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Udvardy | 58c | 224.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Monnet | 36c | 200.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Monnet | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Monnet | 30c | 179.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Monnet | 24c | 156.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monnet | 37c | 116$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Monnet | 33c | 108.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Monnet | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Udvardy | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Monnet | 12c | 86.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Udvardy | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Udvardy | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Monnet | 38c | 81.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monnet | 23c | 78.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0517…6098backed Udvardy | 79c | 69.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Monnet | 35c | 64.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monnet | 36c | 62.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Udvardy | 56c | 57.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Monnet | 34c | 56.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Udvardy | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Monnet | 39c | 49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Monnet | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Udvardy | 60c | 33.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Monnet | 36c | 30.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Udvardy | 61c | 29.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…d2bfbacked Udvardy | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Udvardy | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.