Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Trieste Women: Radka Zelnickova vs Federica Sacco
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d222c3c33644c3ef0ce391d9bc4811a0a5ca2671d52a22d7b650e1d8cb85378
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Federica Saccoof Radka Zelnickova, Federica Sacco
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,946
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,946 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Radka Zelnickova | 56c | 1,785$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Federica Sacco | 43c | 1,701$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Radka Zelnickova | 60c | 1,688$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.2 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Federica Sacco | 44c | 1,375$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Federica Sacco | 41c | 236.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.36 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Radka Zelnickova | 54c | 223.83$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Radka Zelnickova | 70c | 181.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Federica Sacco | 34c | 168.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.08 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Federica Sacco | 29c | 156.59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Radka Zelnickova | 25c | 152$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Federica Sacco | 40c | 124.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.88 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Federica Sacco | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Federica Sacco | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Federica Sacco | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Federica Sacco | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…4d10backed Federica Sacco | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Federica Sacco | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Radka Zelnickova | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Radka Zelnickova | 61c | 63.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Federica Sacco | 34c | 58.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.28 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Radka Zelnickova | 51c | 49.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Federica Sacco | 41c | 47.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Radka Zelnickova | 74c | 46.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Radka Zelnickova | 72c | 39.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Federica Sacco | 41c | 37.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Radka Zelnickova | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.