Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d2ecd600f55dd3054e63b6ed6946abf518c7f5763287e8a6cba4360df272f12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sierraof Gauff, Sierra
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x48de…95babacked Gauff | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sierra | 43c | 1,211$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.18 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sierra | 34c | 663.85$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.92 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…a041backed Gauff | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Gauff | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Gauff | 66c | 307$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Gauff | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sierra | 31c | 274.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.09 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Sierra | 45c | 268.46$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Sierra | 42c | 235.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Sierra | 34c | 219.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.2 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Gauff | 66c | 197.96$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec3…e330backed Gauff | 50c | 168.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 433 | 47.3%205 W · 228 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Sierra | 43c | 160.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Sierra | 43c | 160.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Sierra | 36c | 138.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Gauff | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Gauff | 40c | 61.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Sierra | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Gauff | 65c | 45.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sierra | 36c | 39.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gauff | 64c | 33.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gauff | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed Gauff | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Gauff | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Sierra | 35c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Gauff | 66c | 22.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5)this page
- Set 1 Winner: Sierra vs GauffGauff won
- Set 2 Winner: Sierra vs GauffSierra won
- Solana Sierra vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.