Tennis · resolved market
ITF Irvine: Kenta Miyoshi vs Rudy Quan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d318e3bf3f4b0dff88a9ca74d53db994aa9aca2e59589f2046e132d68b2e9c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kenta Miyoshiof Kenta Miyoshi, Rudy Quan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Kenta Miyoshi | 66c | 2,041$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.85 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Rudy Quan | 34c | 1,879$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.65 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kenta Miyoshi | 66c | 1,601$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.2 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rudy Quan | 34c | 1,595$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.1 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 62c | 1,563$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.08 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e1dfbacked Rudy Quan | 49c | 1,524$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 67c | 1,432$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.33 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Rudy Quan | 37c | 676.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.28 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rudy Quan | 30c | 605.19$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Kenta Miyoshi | 66c | 331.63$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Rudy Quan | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 66c | 265$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…16b7backed Rudy Quan | 35c | 226$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Rudy Quan | 30c | 135.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 46c | 132.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Rudy Quan | 27c | 132$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Kenta Miyoshi | 67c | 128.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 67c | 110$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Kenta Miyoshi | 66c | 108$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kenta Miyoshi | 70c | 97.57$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Rudy Quan | 23c | 96.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Kenta Miyoshi | 65c | 86.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Kenta Miyoshi | 68c | 75.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rudy Quan | 34c | 74.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Kenta Miyoshi | 66c | 67.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc378…5e4cbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +8.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Rudy Quan | 26c | 50.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Kenta Miyoshi | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Kenta Miyoshi | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Kenta Miyoshi | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Kenta Miyoshi | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 75c | 38.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 68c | 38.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kenta Miyoshi | 69c | 35.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 64c | 34.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Rudy Quan | 34c | 34.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Kenta Miyoshi | 64c | 26.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Kenta Miyoshi | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Kenta Miyoshi | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Kenta Miyoshi | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Kenta Miyoshi | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.