Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dab680e58bbc52551dae433d329c2837d95827246e6322c9a769e17cbb48797
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 3c | 3,948$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.86 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 2c | 2,426$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 13c | 2,314$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.77 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 4c | 1,033$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 18c | 957.53$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.08 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 20c | 882$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 79c | 740.16$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.19 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 2c | 682.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 10c | 668.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 67 | 29.9%20 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 7c | 644.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 3c | 641.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 19c | 595.28$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 80c | 254.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Yes | 80c | 222.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…c9a8backed Yes | 80c | 170.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 78cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 20c | 151.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 22c | 149.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 18c | 141.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd02b…1b8dbacked Yes | 80c | 125.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 19c | 85.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 20c | 78.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4974…0a7abacked Yes | 80c | 68.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fc…8ec6backed Yes | 80c | 65.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad0…c5d7backed Yes | 80c | 58.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 20c | 55.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…7675backed Yes | 80c | 52.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7a…c042backed Yes | 80c | 50.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…9555backed Yes | 80c | 45.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8b…3681backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8e…e406backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Yes | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Damac Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.