Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dc4b0eb1d4af2749953a0fa20ff21fe83bc4432e123c84008bb7e4afacbbade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Incarnate Word Cardinalsof Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders, Incarnate Word Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 46c | 2,414$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 52c | 1,792$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.6 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 53c | 1,331$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.37 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 48c | 1,013$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.34 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 52c | 657.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.84 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 45c | 255.31$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 48c | 173.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 48c | 165.75$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 48c | 81.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 47c | 60.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 53c | 52.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 46c | 52.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Incarnate Word Cardinals | 54c | 42.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 45c | 42.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…da51backed Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 53c | 38.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.25 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Incarnate Word Cardinals | 52c | 22.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (-6.5)this page
- Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi IslandersIncarnate Word Cardinals won
- Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.