Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 138.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d9f8f4f14fd871c5ed460acb814c86c544d4b188919add9348a73bf6dc12a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 51c | 115,226$58,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,446.94 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 32,500$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.99 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 48c | 12,472$5,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,986.71 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 49c | 9,719$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.8 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 50c | 9,704$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,851.85 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Under | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 52c | 6,250$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,022.68 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 47c | 3,448$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.56 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 48c | 3,099$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Under | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 48c | 2,708$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 48c | 2,300$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 1,440$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.15 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,200$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 975$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 49c | 972.5$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.73 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 48c | 677.08$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad14…34fdbacked Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 562$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.76 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 50c | 507.6$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Over | 51c | 452$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Under | 49c | 406.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 49c | 304.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 287.29$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 48c | 237.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.04 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…45ecbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 52c | 199.5$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.43 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 48c | 167.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Under | 49c | 103.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Under | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 52c | 73.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Under | 48c | 57.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9051backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 53c | 51.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 48c | 47.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1487…d443backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: O/U 138.5this page
- Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi IslandersIncarnate Word Cardinals won
- Spread: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders (-6.5)Incarnate Word Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.