Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bucharest 3 (Romania), clay: Dragos Nicolae Madaras vs Radu David Turcanu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dcc4c2c00e0b9c2058418ac1169335dab4391b85e941772a6737288b9fca921
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Radu David Turcanuof Dragos Nicolae Madaras, Radu David Turcanu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ca7…39dbbacked Radu David Turcanu | 57c | 3,632$2,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 43c | 3,303$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.91 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…32c5backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 56c | 2,230$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.91 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Radu David Turcanu | 56c | 2,174$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.59 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,872 | 48.2%902 W · 970 L | -36.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Radu David Turcanu | 51c | 397.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.18 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 62c | 392.82$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.62 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -12.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Radu David Turcanu | 53c | 379.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.52 | 1,487 | 45.1%671 W · 816 L | +43.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 24c | 375.77$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 22c | 351.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 959 | 38%364 W · 595 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a41…9163backed Radu David Turcanu | 43c | 344.67$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad0…7150backed Radu David Turcanu | 63c | 305.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 42c | 258.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.71 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Radu David Turcanu | 59c | 258.87$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.94 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 27c | 242$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Radu David Turcanu | 54c | 221.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Radu David Turcanu | 58c | 210.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…89acbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 41c | 191.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Radu David Turcanu | 57c | 173.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Radu David Turcanu | 56c | 158.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.15 | 401 | 46.4%186 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Radu David Turcanu | 47c | 114.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…a3a9backed Radu David Turcanu | 75c | 105.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 62c | 95.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 73 | 67.1%49 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Radu David Turcanu | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 978 | 58.5%572 W · 406 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Radu David Turcanu | 71c | 67.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 24c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 5,600 | 48.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L | +10.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 48c | 61.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Radu David Turcanu | 60c | 51.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 6,584 | 54.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L | +286.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 924 | 41.2%381 W · 543 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Radu David Turcanu | 33c | 48.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 262 | 40.8%107 W · 155 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Radu David Turcanu | 58c | 47.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 433 | 59.4%257 W · 176 L | +28.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…bc8ebacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 45c | 45.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Radu David Turcanu | 51c | 40.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 413 | 57.9%239 W · 174 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 604 | 41.2%249 W · 355 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Radu David Turcanu | 58c | 34.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Radu David Turcanu | 55c | 30.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 440 | 60%264 W · 176 L | +28.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 43c | 30.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…a282backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 52c | 30.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 397 | 64.7%257 W · 140 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed Radu David Turcanu | 51c | 29.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd15d…b2cfbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 56c | 26.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -42%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Dragos Nicolae Madaras | 60c | 17.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 312 | 57.4%179 W · 133 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.