Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Koksijde Men: Lars Goran Verwerft vs Mickael Kaouk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e209f45cca5ef683e16d0d67243dfa5e16703ed5f7b5f4b4dc8920e18c142b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lars Goran Verwerftof Lars Goran Verwerft, Mickael Kaouk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Mickael Kaouk | 12c | 1,449$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Mickael Kaouk | 40c | 1,244$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.5 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mickael Kaouk | 4c | 1,214$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 78c | 917.81$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 67c | 911.67$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.96 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Mickael Kaouk | 28c | 795.55$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.58 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 43c | 451.39$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.68 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Mickael Kaouk | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 56c | 326.34$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Mickael Kaouk | 44c | 320.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mickael Kaouk | 15c | 285.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 45c | 244.91$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 60c | 145.38$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 46c | 137.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.22 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.76 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mickael Kaouk | 31c | 102.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 17c | 89.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 41c | 83.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 41c | 75.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Mickael Kaouk | 40c | 66.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Mickael Kaouk | 17c | 63.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Mickael Kaouk | 35c | 62.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Mickael Kaouk | 40c | 52.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 28c | 51.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Mickael Kaouk | 55c | 47.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Mickael Kaouk | 50c | 41.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 35c | 41.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Mickael Kaouk | 55c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 30c | 39.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lars Goran Verwerft | 42c | 39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa205…d809backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 56c | 36.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Lars Goran Verwerft | 57c | 18.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.