CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e3b3103acd9a802a2643a2a7a184603b222ae103e67eed080d84551ae60589e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Donstu Esports | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Atreides | 47c | 1,060$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.79 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Atreides | 49c | 699.98$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.99 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donstu Esports | 53c | 677.14$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Donstu Esports | 53c | 523.34$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.37 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Donstu Esports | 56c | 191.62$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Donstu Esports | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Donstu Esports | 38c | 156.84$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Atreides | 64c | 156.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 33c | 135.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ff…5f94backed Atreides | 57c | 106.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Atreides | 40c | 94$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Atreides | 45c | 88.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Donstu Esports | 63c | 76.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Donstu Esports | 62c | 57.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Atreides | 56c | 46.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Donstu Esports | 52c | 40.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Donstu Esports | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Atreides | 55c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Donstu Esports | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Donstu Esports | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Donstu Esports | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Atreides | 67c | 32.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Atreides | 52c | 31.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…ea8dbacked Atreides | 42c | 28.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Donstu Esports | 51c | 24.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 519 | 42.2%219 W · 300 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…cc42backed Donstu Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Donstu Esports | 58c | 18.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 WinnerDonstu Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.