CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0021624c9e0b2030721a3bc034cab2dd25900b7ab00db9313d9f506557229d86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donstu Esportsof Atreides, Donstu Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Atreides | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Donstu Esports | 69c | 576.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.81 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 43c | 371.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Donstu Esports | 52c | 307.07$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Donstu Esports | 60c | 271.14$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 522 | 42.5%222 W · 300 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atreides | 48c | 266.61$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.81 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Donstu Esports | 56c | 184.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Donstu Esports | 65c | 156.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Atreides | 48c | 150.06$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Donstu Esports | 43c | 147.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Donstu Esports | 54c | 124.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Atreides | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Donstu Esports | 23c | 105$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.9 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Atreides | 56c | 102.2$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Donstu Esports | 71c | 101.88$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Atreides | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…bd96backed Atreides | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Donstu Esports | 54c | 92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Atreides | 65c | 91.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Atreides | 67c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Donstu Esports | 66c | 77.5$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Atreides | 65c | 76.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 412 | 54.9%226 W · 186 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Atreides | 71c | 76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.24 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Atreides | 38c | 74.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Atreides | 49c | 66.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atreides | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Donstu Esports | 69c | 43.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Donstu Esports | 56c | 43.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Atreides | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Atreides | 41c | 38.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 187 | 53.5%100 W · 87 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Donstu Esports | 36c | 37.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Atreides | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Atreides | 54c | 32.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 63c | 32.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Atreides | 65c | 30.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Donstu Esports | 47c | 30.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Donstu Esports | 35c | 30.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Atreides | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4063…ea8dbacked Atreides | 45c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Atreides | 49c | 22.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Atreides | 64c | 18.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Donstu Esports | 61c | 18.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed Donstu Esports | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Donstu Esports | 68c | 15.15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 861 | 54.1%466 W · 395 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Donstu Esports - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.