Fifa International · resolved market
Will Mongolia win on 2026-06-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e848c8980e698e533bd7e5cbcd5dd5001e5f5f9b5bc60bb95116e90af810f0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes | 3c | 7,385$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b1…e816backed Yes | 3c | 4,399$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,335$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.17 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 4c | 4,150$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.26 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 4c | 4,084$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.03 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 3c | 3,554$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 3c | 3,160$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 3c | 3,036$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 3c | 2,933$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 3c | 2,843$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.3 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 3c | 2,567$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.98 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1b…6e41backed Yes | 1c | 1,996$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 4c | 1,026$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,013$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 3c | 881.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbf…c4aebacked Yes | 3c | 833.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 3c | 699.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes | 3c | 662$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 257 | 19.1%49 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 3c | 421.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 4c | 336.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…a723backed Yes | 21c | 94.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mongolia win on 2026-06-05?this page
- Will Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia end in a draw?No won
- Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.