Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Kaja Juvan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ede5950734096bac6e28d8cc47bf017e84a22d20129740c5494e22a45958ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Antonia Ruzicof Antonia Ruzic, Kaja Juvan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Kaja Juvan | 48c | 1,155$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.6 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Antonia Ruzic | 60c | 768.34$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.16 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Antonia Ruzic | 54c | 762.46$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.39 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Kaja Juvan | 38c | 734.7$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Kaja Juvan | 48c | 500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Antonia Ruzic | 79c | 365.02$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Kaja Juvan | 27c | 334.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.12 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Antonia Ruzic | 47c | 310.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.78 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bd…0ce0backed Antonia Ruzic | 62c | 308.53$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kaja Juvan | 38c | 303.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kaja Juvan | 12c | 296.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Kaja Juvan | 12c | 216.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.95 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Antonia Ruzic | 54c | 194.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.9 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kaja Juvan | 16c | 172.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Kaja Juvan | 12c | 155.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Kaja Juvan | 8c | 154.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Antonia Ruzic | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Kaja Juvan | 37c | 103.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Antonia Ruzic | 60c | 95.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Kaja Juvan | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Kaja Juvan | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Antonia Ruzic | 66c | 49.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Kaja Juvan | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Antonia Ruzic | 71c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kaja Juvan | 33c | 39.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Antonia Ruzic | 56c | 34.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Antonia Ruzic | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 476 | 57.4%273 W · 203 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Antonia Ruzic | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Antonia Ruzic | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Kaja Juvan | 49c | 21.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Antonia Ruzic | 69c | 20.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Kaja Juvan | 53c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9040…e9b0backed Antonia Ruzic | 62c | 16.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.