Serie A · resolved market
Napoli vs. Como: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9edf12142d8ebc4abf76d92fc50408378c56f2260ea41423c92aa039b8548a98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 56c | 4,250$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 3,791$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.75 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 46c | 1,348$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95f…c250backed Over | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 54c | 281.24$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 55c | 267.11$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.46 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 55c | 222$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7c30backed Over | 46c | 217.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Under | 55c | 149.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 43c | 96.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Under | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 44c | 78$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…dc27backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…f4d2backed Over | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Under | 59c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Napoli vs. Como: O/U 2.5this page
- Napoli vs. Como: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spread: Napoli (-0.5)Como won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.