La Liga · resolved market
Will Girona FC win on 2026-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f0ccea8cb96a65cfa698fd2760301d3c508b2b9a6e1318b95e6d6e4b5947905
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x298b…f406backed Yes | 38c | 6,800$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 44cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 3c | 5,198$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 15c | 4,790$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.6 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 4,015$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.9 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 1,643$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374e…87c9backed Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 965.72$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 11c | 666.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked No | 64c | 525$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x921c…05a1backed Yes | 23c | 455.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 21c | 327.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 63c | 311.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 6c | 245.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 63c | 222.14$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.19 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…22ebbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…e838backed Yes | 33c | 132.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 120.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 62c | 109.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 225 | 40.4%91 W · 134 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 63c | 76.87$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 272 | 57.7%157 W · 115 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 40c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 62c | 41.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 26.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 64c | 25.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 63c | 18.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Girona FC win on 2026-08-21?this page
- Will Córdoba CF vs. Girona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Córdoba CF win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.