Other European Leagues · resolved market
Tromsø IL vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f27325fe3847af26aeae4659a6eea8a92db7efb91b5122193f729b34d9c9e44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 61c | 8,808$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,473.3 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 3,456$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.88 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 40c | 2,866$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 35c | 1,599$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.23 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 60c | 456$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.4 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 40c | 399.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.78 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 38c | 164$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 62c | 164$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 39c | 135.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 39c | 101.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 29c | 89.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Over | 39c | 66.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1759…49e5backed Under | 62c | 59.2$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 56.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed Over | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 61c | 17.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tromsø IL vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Tromsø IL (-1.5)Tromsø IL won
- Tromsø IL vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tromsø IL vs. Kristiansund BK: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.