Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Air Force Falcons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f31854b4a310fb389b3d4ae28901f0252e664dd391ece6ccd91e7b05a5db953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyoming Cowboysof Wyoming Cowboys, Air Force Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae11…b96bbacked Air Force Falcons | 19c | 4,231$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Air Force Falcons | 6c | 3,457$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Air Force Falcons | 17c | 2,935$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Air Force Falcons | 19c | 2,439$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.77 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Air Force Falcons | 14c | 1,484$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Air Force Falcons | 11c | 1,152$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Air Force Falcons | 10c | 1,101$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Air Force Falcons | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.93 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Air Force Falcons | 20c | 984.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Air Force Falcons | 6c | 444.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 94 | 12.8%12 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…7212backed Air Force Falcons | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Air Force Falcons | 12c | 301.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed Air Force Falcons | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +76%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Air Force Falcons | 13c | 235.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Air Force Falcons | 9c | 217.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Air Force Falcons | 18c | 140$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Air Force Falcons | 16c | 130.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Air Force Falcons | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Air Force Falcons | 11c | 115.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Air Force Falcons | 12c | 112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6377…69c0backed Air Force Falcons | 12c | 105.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…8f8ebacked Air Force Falcons | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wyoming Cowboys | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Air Force Falcons | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Air Force Falcons | 15c | 68.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Air Force Falconsthis page
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Air Force Falcons: O/U 142.5Under won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Air Force Falcons: O/U 144.5Under won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Air Force Falcons: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.