Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
California Baptist Lancers vs. Oregon State Beavers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f669e89c7212f874a8b22433d0bf9fc5c740fd1b94fd605ef79384a0a154a10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Baptist Lancersof California Baptist Lancers, Oregon State Beavers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,791
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,791 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked California Baptist Lancers | 47c | 3,214$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.54 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Oregon State Beavers | 52c | 2,945$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Oregon State Beavers | 51c | 2,416$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.76 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oregon State Beavers | 23c | 2,224$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.94 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oregon State Beavers | 28c | 2,180$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 49c | 1,923$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed California Baptist Lancers | 51c | 1,475$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.86 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014a…8aefbacked Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 1,238$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…1aaebacked California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 1,238$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Oregon State Beavers | 53c | 1,161$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.22 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed California Baptist Lancers | 53c | 827.2$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Oregon State Beavers | 23c | 817.39$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.39 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Oregon State Beavers | 60c | 282.67$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.71 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oregon State Beavers | 45c | 246.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed California Baptist Lancers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 238.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Oregon State Beavers | 53c | 189.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked California Baptist Lancers | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed California Baptist Lancers | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked California Baptist Lancers | 64c | 121.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…d6f1backed California Baptist Lancers | 49c | 91.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked California Baptist Lancers | 51c | 78.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 54.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24fa…88c0backed California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 45.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc39f…bc11backed Oregon State Beavers | 52c | 43.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked California Baptist Lancers | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…983bbacked Oregon State Beavers | 52c | 37.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Oregon State Beavers | 36c | 36.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9177…b677backed California Baptist Lancers | 51c | 35.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…1e89backed California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…cab9backed Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…ea3cbacked Oregon State Beavers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…e2b1backed California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.42per pick | 56cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…1ea5backed California Baptist Lancers | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Oregon State Beavers | 61c | 19.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.