Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Samsunspor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f7fbd8e5e9553c1dc29d50129a6378f34487522f4d2dbd64e4bcb1ff22bf814
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,907$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.03 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 3,278$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.39 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 1,630$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.6 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,606$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.93 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 36c | 1,382$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.38 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 69c | 1,024$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.2 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 923.93$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.21 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 797$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.16 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 70c | 781.84$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.55 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 693.83$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 73c | 690$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 535.84$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 406.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 71c | 390$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed No | 70c | 355.71$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 29c | 299.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.88 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Yes | 24c | 208.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 26c | 138.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 27c | 107$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 31c | 81.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 22c | 73.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 27c | 71.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…7782backed No | 56c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 70c | 47.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed No | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…05f2backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 68c | 30.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99df…b59abacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 71c | 15.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Samsunspor vs. Trabzonspor end in a draw?this page
- Will Samsunspor win on 2026-02-07?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-02-07?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.