Tennis · resolved market
Paris: Shuai Zhang vs Yulia Starodubtseva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f85373831ca066cef2d3685648e1f024ee04a1bd168abc51de5a1c1fc2ccefa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yulia Starodubtsevaof Shuai Zhang, Yulia Starodubtseva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 79c | 6,831$5,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.46 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Shuai Zhang | 25c | 5,200$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 76c | 4,496$3,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.51 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shuai Zhang | 18c | 2,011$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.59 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Shuai Zhang | 24c | 1,684$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.28 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Shuai Zhang | 7c | 1,632$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Shuai Zhang | 4c | 1,020$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Shuai Zhang | 24c | 1,005$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Shuai Zhang | 26c | 805.84$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Shuai Zhang | 22c | 717$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.33 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Shuai Zhang | 22c | 499.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Shuai Zhang | 8c | 492.46$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Shuai Zhang | 24c | 480.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Shuai Zhang | 26c | 466.95$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shuai Zhang | 10c | 372.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Shuai Zhang | 25c | 359.48$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Shuai Zhang | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shuai Zhang | 16c | 268.15$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…eb10backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 77c | 244.16$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Shuai Zhang | 15c | 213.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Shuai Zhang | 25c | 204.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…d69ebacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Shuai Zhang | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Shuai Zhang | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 80c | 115.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Shuai Zhang | 21c | 112.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Shuai Zhang | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Shuai Zhang | 21c | 95.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Shuai Zhang | 24c | 60.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Shuai Zhang | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa671…f693backed Shuai Zhang | 25c | 48.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 76c | 40.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Yulia Starodubtseva | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9124…7a4dbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186f…641bbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 172 | 69.2%119 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Yulia Starodubtseva | 75c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paris: Shuai Zhang vs Yulia Starodubtsevathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.