Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fd88f41998064d6456ea1046010ab78bf2cc9758473880f4190d1115fff8af6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Baptist Lancersof Utah Valley Wolverines, California Baptist Lancers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,739 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 3,022$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 1,679$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 779.15$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.58 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 618.82$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.32 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed California Baptist Lancers | 47c | 185.16$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 53c | 136.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed California Baptist Lancers | 47c | 43.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 30.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-1.5)this page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley WolverinesCalifornia Baptist Lancers won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 122.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 123.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 124.5Under won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 125.5Under won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-1.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-2.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-3.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-6.5)California Baptist Lancers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.