Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80e880b22429967a71c28954a2d08fa520d8dd66925404e6f3c0de928811615c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Baptist Lancersof Utah Valley Wolverines, California Baptist Lancers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,157 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 52c | 9,621$4,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,956.29 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 48c | 9,081$4,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,682.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed California Baptist Lancers | 49c | 1,501$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.31 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 52c | 832.16$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.72 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed California Baptist Lancers | 51c | 735.39$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.02 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 48c | 690$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.3 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…dbaebacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 51c | 585.09$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 231.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.98 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e0…e2cbbacked California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked California Baptist Lancers | 56c | 193.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 164.55$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked California Baptist Lancers | 50c | 100.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.32 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked California Baptist Lancers | 53c | 79.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed California Baptist Lancers | 51c | 63.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 55c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed California Baptist Lancers | 54c | 18.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-2.5)this page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley WolverinesCalifornia Baptist Lancers won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 122.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 123.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 124.5Under won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 125.5Under won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-1.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-1.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-3.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-6.5)California Baptist Lancers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.