Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad3e8ae41c2270b36bd904a0c6391a57bb519e88c83e1f35dd8fd8f241f6fd0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Baptist Lancersof Utah Valley Wolverines, California Baptist Lancers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,401 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked California Baptist Lancers | 56c | 8,852$4,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,894.69 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 49c | 6,203$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.49 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed California Baptist Lancers | 51c | 2,230$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.72 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 44c | 1,008$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 46c | 825.3$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.03 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked California Baptist Lancers | 54c | 460.77$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.95 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 49c | 404.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.25 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 47c | 261.22$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.78 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed California Baptist Lancers | 57c | 173.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked California Baptist Lancers | 56c | 108.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed California Baptist Lancers | 54c | 101.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked California Baptist Lancers | 52c | 96.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 47c | 95.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 49c | 93.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 44c | 92.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 54c | 89.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed California Baptist Lancers | 55c | 78.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 46c | 64.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 47c | 57.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…954ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 56c | 53.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked California Baptist Lancers | 54c | 32.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Utah Valley Wolverines | 44c | 26.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah Valley Wolverines | 60c | 26.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed California Baptist Lancers | 54c | 22.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked California Baptist Lancers | 56c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed California Baptist Lancers | 57c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-3.5)this page
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley WolverinesCalifornia Baptist Lancers won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 122.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 123.5Over won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 124.5Under won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 125.5Under won
- California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: California Baptist Lancers (-1.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-1.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-2.5)California Baptist Lancers won
- Spread: Utah Valley Wolverines (-6.5)California Baptist Lancers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.