Tennis · resolved market
ITF Luan: Yan Cheng Chen vs Shintaro Imai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa01d17cb2271b9efbb901480a3e924ab44a670feb7b00191086994dfde2d09a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yan Cheng Chenof Yan Cheng Chen, Shintaro Imai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Yan Cheng Chen | 14c | 4,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Shintaro Imai | 68c | 3,389$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 14c | 3,150$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.5 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Yan Cheng Chen | 28c | 2,423$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.32 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yan Cheng Chen | 32c | 1,155$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.77 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 54c | 969.6$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.22 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Shintaro Imai | 66c | 731.1$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.14 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Shintaro Imai | 22c | 606$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yan Cheng Chen | 35c | 597.39$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.03 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yan Cheng Chen | 77c | 410$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.28 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 32c | 318.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.17 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Shintaro Imai | 75c | 262.37$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.9 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Shintaro Imai | 68c | 254.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 33c | 213$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.92 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Shintaro Imai | 64c | 195.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Yan Cheng Chen | 41c | 178.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.05 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Shintaro Imai | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yan Cheng Chen | 14c | 168.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shintaro Imai | 59c | 159.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…5143backed Shintaro Imai | 67c | 149.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Shintaro Imai | 68c | 114.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.81 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Shintaro Imai | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Shintaro Imai | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 360 | 53.1%191 W · 169 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 34c | 69.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yan Cheng Chen | 33c | 64.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Shintaro Imai | 68c | 58.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Shintaro Imai | 74c | 45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Shintaro Imai | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Shintaro Imai | 63c | 36.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Yan Cheng Chen | 33c | 33.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61d…caddbacked Shintaro Imai | 60c | 32.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yan Cheng Chen | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Shintaro Imai | 55c | 21.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Shintaro Imai | 63c | 20.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.