Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. Arkansas State Red Wolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa04107f4e69943367adeb45ef6694fbb54948437fee3a8fde9b5fc008054a2d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Southern Eaglesof Georgia Southern Eagles, Arkansas State Red Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,873 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8542…4fc5backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 76c | 3,822$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,904.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 24c | 3,643$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,768.44 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 35c | 1,860$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.47 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 74c | 869.75$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.62 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 31c | 743.35$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.74 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 75c | 647.72$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.79 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 31c | 368.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.61 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 55c | 319.83$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 72c | 263.32$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 26c | 198.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 54c | 119.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 75c | 91.51$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 76c | 78.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 42c | 74.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 41c | 60.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 75c | 59.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Arkansas State Red Wolves | 37c | 59.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 75c | 36.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Georgia Southern Eagles | 74c | 35.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Arkansas State Red Wolves | 70c | 24.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 70c | 23.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad74…15c1backed Georgia Southern Eagles | 75c | 15.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.82 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.