La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0723088e5d239cfdb3117e09f2199e745bbf92f4662db34e41054ae3d4cffe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 29c | 4,300$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,116$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,128$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.2 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 34c | 1,071$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.65 | 103 | 29.1%30 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 908.32$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.98 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 67c | 437.01$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 39c | 350$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.69 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 348.73$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.58 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 289.45$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.55 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 61c | 280.28$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 40c | 247.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.67 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…103ebacked Yes | 35c | 200.69$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 69c | 186.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 51c | 165.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 140.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.11 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Yes | 39c | 130.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 44c | 113.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 56c | 106.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 88.81$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 56c | 77.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 75.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8750…0841backed No | 72c | 64.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 61.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 41c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 39c | 37.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed No | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb7…bfcebacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Yes | 67c | 15.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?No won
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.