Cricket · resolved market
ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League B: Tanzania vs Singapore
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0edc7e395c9dfc57fda35fe057dc395420a8dd1d42c81e9b75d386a5ccc69f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tanzaniaof Tanzania, Singapore
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Tanzania | 73c | 5,586$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.23 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Singapore | 31c | 1,877$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Singapore | 39c | 1,555$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Singapore | 9c | 1,353$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Singapore | 30c | 377.43$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Tanzania | 77c | 271.08$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Singapore | 27c | 268.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Singapore | 39c | 217.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Singapore | 37c | 199.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Singapore | 40c | 150.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…0feabacked Tanzania | 68c | 139.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Tanzania | 68c | 135.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Tanzania | 60c | 104.77$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Singapore | 19c | 77.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Singapore | 38c | 72.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Tanzania | 58c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Singapore | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Singapore | 24c | 44.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ff…66d0backed Tanzania | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Singapore | 43c | 36.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…cad3backed Tanzania | 72c | 34.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…5ba7backed Tanzania | 59c | 32.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Tanzania | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 111 | 69.4%77 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ac…be13backed Tanzania | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Tanzania | 54c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Tanzania | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…e069backed Tanzania | 66c | 19.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…970abacked Tanzania | 67c | 15.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.