Tennis · resolved market
Brazzaville: Skander Mansouri vs Mathys Erhard
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0fd0f06d8a588bdf6c0d7153d6df99a4b05649f14a6174b79069488d735377c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mathys Erhardof Skander Mansouri, Mathys Erhard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Skander Mansouri | 8c | 3,369$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Skander Mansouri | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Skander Mansouri | 24c | 1,011$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.64 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Skander Mansouri | 12c | 953.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Mathys Erhard | 78c | 889.45$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.66 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Skander Mansouri | 14c | 808.91$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Skander Mansouri | 20c | 519.78$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Skander Mansouri | 11c | 517.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Mathys Erhard | 76c | 495$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…d8acbacked Mathys Erhard | 76c | 451.96$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Mathys Erhard | 76c | 447.48$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.4 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Skander Mansouri | 7c | 357$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 96 | 28.1%27 W · 69 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Skander Mansouri | 14c | 298.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Mathys Erhard | 80c | 295.45$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked Skander Mansouri | 16c | 233.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +24.4wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Skander Mansouri | 17c | 205.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Skander Mansouri | 16c | 187.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Skander Mansouri | 17c | 157.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3626…3834backed Skander Mansouri | 29c | 149.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Skander Mansouri | 25c | 148.89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Mathys Erhard | 71c | 142.95$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Mathys Erhard | 74c | 136.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Skander Mansouri | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Skander Mansouri | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Skander Mansouri | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Skander Mansouri | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Skander Mansouri | 30c | 72.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Skander Mansouri | 17c | 67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Skander Mansouri | 21c | 62.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Mathys Erhard | 69c | 60.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Mathys Erhard | 70c | 50.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb90…9c42backed Mathys Erhard | 69c | 25.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Mathys Erhard | 75c | 20.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Mathys Erhard | 79c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Mathys Erhard | 76c | 17.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked Mathys Erhard | 70c | 14.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Mathys Erhard | 78c | 14.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Mathys Erhard | 77c | 13.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.