Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $90 April 6-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1382774a845a9ad8ac85d6353d13a3daf42790718dd16f38dd998610a308332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 15c | 9,652$1,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.88 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 435.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 3c | 340.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…1528backed Yes | 6c | 270.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a4…a548backed Yes | 27c | 265.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed No | 74c | 225.79$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed Yes | 28c | 215.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacd0…11fbbacked Yes | 7c | 203.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 30c | 202.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 17cpaid | -96.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Yes | 8c | 176.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 20c | 132.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1f…8d6abacked Yes | 37c | 132.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…9df0backed Yes | 14c | 125.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…a85bbacked Yes | 10c | 103$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 29c | 79.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6ebcbacked No | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 65c | 63.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2b…6681backed Yes | 27c | 50.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2004…914abacked No | 79c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -82%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecc…d3a7backed No | 76c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $90 April 6-12?this page
- Will Solana dip to $60 April 6-12?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 April 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 April 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 April 6-12?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 April 6-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.