Tennis · resolved market
ITF Metzingen: Justin Schlageter vs Patrick Zahraj
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa148c2e3098c4dc691c3bf2e322717f1c4bc9334f6ed4f4f02688668a58efd32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patrick Zahrajof Justin Schlageter, Patrick Zahraj
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Justin Schlageter | 54c | 8,836$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,738.16 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Patrick Zahraj | 32c | 2,290$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.56 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Patrick Zahraj | 36c | 2,094$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.6 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Patrick Zahraj | 54c | 1,838$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.61 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Patrick Zahraj | 33c | 348.48$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.48 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Patrick Zahraj | 34c | 335.29$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.29 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Patrick Zahraj | 33c | 273.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Patrick Zahraj | 34c | 188.24$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Patrick Zahraj | 31c | 170.97$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Patrick Zahraj | 31c | 164.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Patrick Zahraj | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Patrick Zahraj | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Patrick Zahraj | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Patrick Zahraj | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Justin Schlageter | 23c | 129.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Patrick Zahraj | 31c | 123.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Patrick Zahraj | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Patrick Zahraj | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Justin Schlageter | 54c | 90.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Justin Schlageter | 54c | 90.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Justin Schlageter | 54c | 90.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Patrick Zahraj | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Patrick Zahraj | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Patrick Zahraj | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Patrick Zahraj | 33c | 87.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Justin Schlageter | 60c | 86.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Patrick Zahraj | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Patrick Zahraj | 38c | 58.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Patrick Zahraj | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Patrick Zahraj | 72c | 48.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Patrick Zahraj | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…ae38backed Patrick Zahraj | 31c | 37.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Justin Schlageter | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Justin Schlageter | 70c | 19.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.