Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs McCartney Kessler
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa165249cdb545144f19f84cc048626da09354f2adf7d4d2b16437105aafa38eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McCartney Kesslerof Oleksandra Oliynykova, McCartney Kessler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 2,271$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.32 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 14c | 1,682$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.54 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 311 | 46%143 W · 168 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 15c | 848$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 7c | 662.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea4…4d25backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 2c | 585.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 14c | 540.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 506$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 312.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 14c | 297.62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…bcbebacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 246.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 14c | 181.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 164.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova | 15c | 125.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 13c | 120.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 109.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…f577backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 107.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 18c | 73.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…9f34backed Oleksandra Oliynykova | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.