Tennis · resolved market
Brisbane International, Qualification: Kamil Majchrzak vs Cruz Hewitt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1a20be4b53e9eafa4b5cf61195c4b7881d8df4ee8754330e0871faf52093749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Majchrzakof Majchrzak, Hewitt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hewitt | 3c | 11,678$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.4 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Hewitt | 38c | 2,000$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.39 | 186 | 63.4%118 W · 68 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Majchrzak | 74c | 1,075$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.43 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c0…e244backed Hewitt | 29c | 1,024$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Majchrzak | 60c | 917$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.8 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea72…16a2backed Hewitt | 14c | 782$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hewitt | 12c | 514.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Majchrzak | 72c | 489.87$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.62 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Hewitt | 10c | 428$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x719e…0a21backed Hewitt | 14c | 421$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…e5a3backed Hewitt | 14c | 345$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Hewitt | 14c | 340$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hewitt | 10c | 249.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd921…737bbacked Hewitt | 5c | 217.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…5bdfbacked Hewitt | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…f5b5backed Majchrzak | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Majchrzak | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Hewitt | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hewitt | 11c | 131.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Majchrzak | 60c | 118.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Majchrzak | 15c | 117.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Majchrzak | 70c | 117.36$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…44adbacked Hewitt | 14c | 106$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Hewitt | 31c | 96.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Majchrzak | 80c | 88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…5490backed Majchrzak | 75c | 65.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Majchrzak | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Majchrzak | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brisbane International, Qualification: Kamil Majchrzak vs Cruz Hewittthis page
- Majchrzak vs. Hewitt: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Majchrzak vs. Hewitt: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Majchrzak vs. Hewitt: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.