CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-Flame Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1aa412a881baa1e286c9dc551f4efc1d5005901ddb9e05d7ce07dc9663f0c85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sangalof Sangal, ex-Flame Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-Flame Sharks | 16c | 4,377$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.47 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Sangal | 75c | 1,130$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.58 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-Flame Sharks | 32c | 550$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Sangal | 68c | 340$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Flame Sharks | 21c | 327.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Sangal | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ex-Flame Sharks | 31c | 204.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed ex-Flame Sharks | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked ex-Flame Sharks | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Sangal | 66c | 92.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Flame Sharks | 15c | 71.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Sangal | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed ex-Flame Sharks | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…2caebacked ex-Flame Sharks | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed ex-Flame Sharks | 32c | 45.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked ex-Flame Sharks | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5e…8891backed Sangal | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-Flame Sharks (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sangal vs ex-Flame Sharks - Map 1 WinnerSangal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.