Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa beat West Ham United?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1bea323c5ceb1057a7a2898b14b8ae5f004ee0d697d62a4fd5cf1ee4e5315b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 30c | 487.93$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 65c | 299.98$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.99 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed No | 64c | 253.62$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +12.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 72c | 250$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 36c | 137.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…d6d7backed Yes | 37c | 62.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 64c | 34.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…eccabacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3d…ee56backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb05…2de2backed No | 67c | 27.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa beat West Ham United?this page
- Will West Ham United beat Aston Villa?No won
- Will West Ham United vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.