Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Tabilo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2123179daa33557c55b49ead4a086ec62e93ceef9942f8b525ed46a9ed45972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tabiloof Atmane, Tabilo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Tabilo | 45c | 1,792$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.07 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atmane | 55c | 1,342$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.92 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Tabilo | 49c | 1,050$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.66 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed Atmane | 56c | 517.86$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…f4f1backed Atmane | 22c | 490.77$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tabilo | 78c | 472.92$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Atmane | 44c | 461.53$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.28 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Atmane | 50c | 347.69$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.89 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Atmane | 52c | 252.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.55 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Tabilo | 73c | 68.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Tabilo | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atmane | 53c | 60.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Atmane | 51c | 57.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Tabilo | 46c | 51.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tabilo | 73c | 39.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Atmane | 55c | 33.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 468 | 51.5%241 W · 227 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Atmane | 56c | 25.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Tabilothis page
- Atmane vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Atmane vs. Tabilo: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Terence Atmane vs Alejandro TabiloAlejandro Tabilo won
- Set 2 Winner: Atmane vs TabiloTabilo won
- Set Handicap: Atmane (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)Tabilo won
- Set Handicap: Tabilo (-1.5) vs Atmane (+1.5)Tabilo won
- Terence Atmane vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.