MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa24a852b93cf1e88afd9fa8fae11600d8bd3febe8977a79557e6510a516853e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof SSG Landers, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,838
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,838 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98a7…af8bbacked SSG Landers | 36c | 1,281$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 513.25$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.9 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Doosan Bears | 65c | 458.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 300$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked SSG Landers | 20c | 252$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 37c | 195.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed SSG Landers | 36c | 178.29$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.39 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed SSG Landers | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Doosan Bears | 66c | 152.31$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.14 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Doosan Bears | 64c | 147.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 35c | 138.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Doosan Bears | 66c | 136.36$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 124$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed SSG Landers | 41c | 123.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 101.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed SSG Landers | 35c | 100.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…b4b5backed SSG Landers | 34c | 99.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 33c | 98.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed SSG Landers | 37c | 97.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 97.06$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 18c | 95.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Doosan Bears | 80c | 63.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 35c | 61.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed SSG Landers | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Doosan Bears | 80c | 56$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed SSG Landers | 36c | 54.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 35c | 53.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Doosan Bears | 65c | 48.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 30.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Doosan Bears | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…dbcfbacked SSG Landers | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…1083backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…7420backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…4ea2backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f87…0d97backed SSG Landers | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…fd2cbacked Doosan Bears | 50c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.