Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa253e4d2a1fd96cafc1339a277e61183cd36fd61c7fcd528326bbf6082ba6d66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vanderbilt Commodoresof Tennessee Volunteers, Vanderbilt Commodores
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,587 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 4,132$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.24 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 2,942$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.22 | 334 | 38.9%130 W · 204 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.43 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 2,140$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 969$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.19 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Tennessee Volunteers | 53c | 631.45$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.43 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 53c | 569.39$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.35 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 47c | 503.68$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.77 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 454.26$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…e1b2backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 377.59$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 350.63$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.28 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 298$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tennessee Volunteers | 53c | 285.42$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.04 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 253$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 247.37$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 243.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.17 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 43c | 194.67$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 44c | 159$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tennessee Volunteers | 53c | 92.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…cfaebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 80.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…f9d5backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 67.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 67.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 47c | 61.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 41.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 36.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…1b92backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 31.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 27.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 51c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-2.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-3.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-1.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt Commodores won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 136.5Over won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 137.5Over won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 138.5Over won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 139.5Over won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 140.5Over won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 145.5Under won
- Tennessee Volunteers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 147.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.