Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Zizou Bergs vs Chun Hsin Tseng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa26f522b8eeb4d580e5d250b386ba30b422fcce9e9462437056d54a0649db675
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bergsof Bergs, Tseng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Bergs | 70c | 6,100$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Tseng | 30c | 4,429$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,328.57 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Tseng | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Bergs | 78c | 1,280$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.22 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bergs | 70c | 919.97$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Tseng | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 260 | 39.2%102 W · 158 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tseng | 21c | 482.65$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bergs | 69c | 378.03$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tseng | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Bergs | 70c | 333.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tseng | 31c | 325.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tseng | 22c | 194.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Bergs | 71c | 140.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Tseng | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Tseng | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Tseng | 32c | 94.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc17…2a3bbacked Bergs | 69c | 71.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Tseng | 19c | 66.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Tseng | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…da98backed Bergs | 76c | 62.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Tseng | 29c | 41.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Bergs | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f1e4backed Bergs | 70c | 27.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…63d8backed Bergs | 68c | 26.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77db…cff4backed Bergs | 69c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Bergs | 70c | 18.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…c78fbacked Bergs | 69c | 16.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…6dbabacked Bergs | 69c | 15.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.