Tennis · resolved market
Morelia: Robin Catry vs Tristan Schoolkate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa278e16998090b2ecd3ce5a7a86eb4d4b415e47db17ed4a18e6ce845cd27c5c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tristan Schoolkateof Robin Catry, Tristan Schoolkate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,408 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Robin Catry | 15c | 954.19$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.14 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Robin Catry | 17c | 868.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.7 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Robin Catry | 15c | 813.44$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Robin Catry | 7c | 536.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Robin Catry | 15c | 516.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Robin Catry | 18c | 390.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Robin Catry | 16c | 369.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.49 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Robin Catry | 17c | 274$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Robin Catry | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Robin Catry | 10c | 240.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Robin Catry | 19c | 226.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Robin Catry | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Robin Catry | 10c | 195.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Robin Catry | 16c | 192.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…84e4backed Robin Catry | 10c | 190.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 78c | 174.8$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Tristan Schoolkate | 62c | 150.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Robin Catry | 18c | 148$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Robin Catry | 19c | 121.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…accbbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 79c | 120.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Tristan Schoolkate | 62c | 116.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Robin Catry | 13c | 111.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Robin Catry | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Robin Catry | 22c | 92.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Tristan Schoolkate | 60c | 87.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Robin Catry | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Robin Catry | 23c | 47.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Tristan Schoolkate | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Tristan Schoolkate | 58c | 29.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…41d9backed Tristan Schoolkate | 79c | 18.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767b…d88abacked Tristan Schoolkate | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.