Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa28e1927382d94f69ffc7d47e111d6674aca889fb62691fbc437dca3d9c719ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6011…b31ebacked No | 79c | 514.28$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 162 | 95.7%155 W · 7 L | +61.2wins | +0.38per pick | 58cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 86+0.33 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 8c | 255.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 176.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 76c | 152.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 49c | 124.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 54c | 119.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 100.69$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed Yes | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd119…ebddbacked No | 32c | 96.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 40 | 97.5%39 W · 1 L | +16.9wins | +0.42per pick | 55cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 79+0.26 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 60c | 90.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 35c | 88.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1bc5backed No | 30c | 83.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 78c | 74.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…3884backed Yes | 21c | 71.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 66.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.98 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 80c | 66$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 57c | 60.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…9ac2backed No | 45c | 55.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2e…498dbacked Yes | 25c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 38c | 51.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…9240backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 35c | 48.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 72c | 38.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed Yes | 59c | 36.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 66c | 34.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 605 | 23.3%141 W · 464 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…2fb6backed No | 65c | 30.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 143 | 32.9%47 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5d…3384backed No | 65c | 29.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 282 | 70.2%198 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 64c | 27.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…b908backed Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0a…4d57backed No | 42c | 24.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…8ca0backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked No | 74c | 17.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 74c | 14.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.