Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2d1e9aa18243d9400032b8601fe3fc9e8de4439cf1eee0303fd788eac1ed772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,975 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 10,657$7,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.38 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 47c | 10,640$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 30c | 6,534$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.2 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 5,682$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.73 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 53c | 2,638$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.74 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 29c | 1,030$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.22 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…a497backed Over | 5c | 999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 53c | 896$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.12 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 40c | 883.53$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 7c | 537.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 44c | 475$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 299.55$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 62c | 262$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 48c | 260.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 53c | 191.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a0…ba20backed Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 53c | 125.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb495…7c65backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c071backed Under | 53c | 112.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4a…0561backed Over | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 44c | 57.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 47c | 52.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 30c | 47.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 75c | 46.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 52c | 42.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 71c | 42.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 43c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Over | 46c | 36.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Over | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e3…a8cabacked Under | 72c | 34.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 76c | 34.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 53c | 29.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 28.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Under | 53c | 28.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 47c | 28.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 61c | 24.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Under | 70c | 22.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 45c | 22.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e21…15a7backed Under | 53c | 19.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 54c | 18.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Gençlerbirliği SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-2.5)Gençlerbirliği SK won
- Spread: Gençlerbirliği SK (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.