Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Shevchenko (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2d45cf4f4a6255308566ee737fc6b8e1278a790b9efd59351f42306859a9de8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Humbertof Humbert, Shevchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,260 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Shevchenko | 48c | 1,085$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.26 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Humbert | 55c | 550$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Humbert | 51c | 492.08$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Humbert | 51c | 446.03$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Humbert | 50c | 434.32$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Shevchenko | 49c | 400.6$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Shevchenko | 45c | 368.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4533…0adcbacked Humbert | 53c | 359.96$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Shevchenko | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shevchenko | 47c | 249.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Shevchenko | 50c | 201.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Humbert | 54c | 183.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Shevchenko | 46c | 180.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.73 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Shevchenko | 41c | 164.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Humbert | 66c | 152.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Shevchenko | 44c | 144.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Humbert | 51c | 128$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.72 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Humbert | 52c | 107.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Humbert | 62c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Shevchenko | 46c | 62.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Shevchenko | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Humbert | 59c | 49.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Shevchenko | 64c | 40.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Humbert | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…498fbacked Shevchenko | 48c | 31.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…ca7bbacked Shevchenko | 45c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Humbert | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Shevchenko | 48c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…d34abacked Humbert | 56c | 21.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Humbert | 57c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Shevchenko (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Shevchenko vs. Ugo Humbert: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Ugo HumbertUgo Humbert won
- Set 1 Winner: Shevchenko vs HumbertHumbert won
- Shevchenko vs. Humbert: Match O/U 23.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.