Tennis · resolved market
Nottingham 3: Patrick Brady vs Herman Hoeyeraal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa362a64e4a44e8ee691fdf51689ce10e827e48e0d9cb0731e6e1be80c294a9c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patrick Bradyof Patrick Brady, Herman Hoeyeraal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,891
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Patrick Brady | 73c | 1,498$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.94 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Patrick Brady | 69c | 627.33$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 28c | 299.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 32c | 281.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 13c | 235.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…2408backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 14c | 209$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 15c | 171$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 13c | 142.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 13c | 115.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Patrick Brady | 70c | 106.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Patrick Brady | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Patrick Brady | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 33c | 90.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Patrick Brady | 72c | 84.52$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 28c | 72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…30a0backed Patrick Brady | 68c | 70.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Patrick Brady | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Patrick Brady | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 19c | 68.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Patrick Brady | 72c | 67.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 28c | 60.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Patrick Brady | 71c | 59.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 30c | 57.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Patrick Brady | 70c | 44.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed Patrick Brady | 72c | 41.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Patrick Brady | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Patrick Brady | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcd…3fcfbacked Patrick Brady | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Patrick Brady | 72c | 25.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Patrick Brady | 69c | 23.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Patrick Brady | 71c | 20.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.