Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs Zheng
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3b5c645051475deca6c514449671a94d6a654c928d9eb3095081d0991d31c97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zhengof Humbert, Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Zheng | 46c | 2,668$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.64 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Humbert | 54c | 2,622$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.81 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…bf1abacked Humbert | 45c | 2,057$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zheng | 42c | 1,658$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.97 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Humbert | 56c | 1,376$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.33 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Humbert | 53c | 1,117$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.32 | 400 | 46.8%187 W · 213 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Zheng | 47c | 1,109$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.05 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zheng | 45c | 389$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.95 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Zheng | 79c | 148.79$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Zheng | 41c | 70.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked Zheng | 76c | 64.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Humbert | 27c | 64.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zheng | 48c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf409…4867backed Humbert | 54c | 50.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f9…58e9backed Humbert | 54c | 45.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs Zhengthis page
- Cincinnati Open: Ugo Humbert vs Michael ZhengMichael Zheng won
- Humbert vs. Zheng: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.