Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Seoul win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3d0ac6abff3ff769ba79201bee322b0c64fd74625a8560b538bf9cd375b6b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,571
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,571 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 64c | 24,968$15,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,988.48 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 63c | 750.71$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.76 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 36c | 703.28$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.08 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 31c | 615.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed No | 78c | 257.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 71c | 255$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 250.02$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed No | 63c | 175$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 26c | 164.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 31c | 64.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 36c | 62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…4c76backed Yes | 36c | 54.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 37c | 50.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 39c | 33.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 40c | 28.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Seoul win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul end in a draw?No won
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.