CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3d5acf6ff1b11a6fb5327220e310eb901af92993b6bbf3298543fa085821d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MAGICOSof paiN Academy, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed paiN Academy | 1c | 3,710$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked paiN Academy | 10c | 1,858$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.95 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed paiN Academy | 63c | 1,741$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked paiN Academy | 35c | 839.22$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.98 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +8.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed paiN Academy | 36c | 380$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked paiN Academy | 6c | 300.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed paiN Academy | 65c | 148$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed paiN Academy | 72c | 138.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed MAGICOS | 64c | 127.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed paiN Academy | 37c | 122.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked paiN Academy | 10c | 111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43c8…0551backed paiN Academy | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked MAGICOS | 28c | 95.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b80…b3b2backed paiN Academy | 20c | 87.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked paiN Academy | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed MAGICOS | 32c | 72.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked paiN Academy | 67c | 72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…d949backed paiN Academy | 71c | 70.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked paiN Academy | 66c | 67.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked paiN Academy | 19c | 64.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked paiN Academy | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed MAGICOS | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed paiN Academy | 67c | 49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed MAGICOS | 33c | 48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked MAGICOS | 29c | 44.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed MAGICOS | 35c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…bff8backed MAGICOS | 61c | 39.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked MAGICOS | 35c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MAGICOS | 63c | 35.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…0751backed MAGICOS | 33c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked MAGICOS | 35c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed MAGICOS | 35c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…0ef8backed MAGICOS | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed paiN Academy | 67c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0713…5703backed MAGICOS | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 2 WinnerMAGICOS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.