Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bolszewo: Nika Hurkacz vs Victoria Bosio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3fb9431d31134277354f27b7794de671b283bd4280c20d4b9bcf6f336a7ee18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Victoria Bosioof Nika Hurkacz, Victoria Bosio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Victoria Bosio | 59c | 3,159$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.33 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Nika Hurkacz | 42c | 2,015$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Nika Hurkacz | 44c | 904.86$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…9751backed Nika Hurkacz | 29c | 347.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Nika Hurkacz | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nika Hurkacz | 17c | 282.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Victoria Bosio | 64c | 209.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Victoria Bosio | 71c | 174.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Nika Hurkacz | 26c | 122.47$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Victoria Bosio | 71c | 115.6$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Nika Hurkacz | 23c | 59.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Victoria Bosio | 70c | 51.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Victoria Bosio | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Victoria Bosio | 66c | 45.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Victoria Bosio | 79c | 12.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.58 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.