Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Oviedo (Spain), clay: Alexander Ritschard vs Ivan Gakhov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa40d7524488c08054cc89d6c40bd2da41a991828cdf37d7ddff7562daf24036d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Ritschardof Alexander Ritschard, Ivan Gakhov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alexander Ritschard | 69c | 4,134$2,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.77 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Ivan Gakhov | 36c | 2,802$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 748 | 40.9%306 W · 442 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…bbb8backed Ivan Gakhov | 30c | 1,079$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.82 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Alexander Ritschard | 74c | 829.25$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 1,150 | 45.4%522 W · 628 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Ivan Gakhov | 26c | 779.21$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 663 | 50.2%333 W · 330 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…ae0ebacked Ivan Gakhov | 28c | 574.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.89 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexander Ritschard | 72c | 430.69$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…c177backed Ivan Gakhov | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Alexander Ritschard | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 524 | 50.4%264 W · 260 L | -27.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ivan Gakhov | 23c | 285$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 2,545 | 51.2%1,303 W · 1,242 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexander Ritschard | 76c | 258.67$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ivan Gakhov | 24c | 202.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alexander Ritschard | 79c | 142.7$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 3,952 | 55.1%2,176 W · 1,776 L | +107.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…ba7abacked Ivan Gakhov | 15c | 125.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Alexander Ritschard | 78c | 113.46$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 498 | 67.1%334 W · 164 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexander Ritschard | 74c | 100.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Alexander Ritschard | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 726 | 38.3%278 W · 448 L | -34.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Ivan Gakhov | 26c | 76.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Ivan Gakhov | 24c | 72.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Ivan Gakhov | 26c | 66.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1,398 | 39.1%546 W · 852 L | -25.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alexander Ritschard | 72c | 64.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 1,856 | 46.8%868 W · 988 L | -55.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Ivan Gakhov | 24c | 62.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Ivan Gakhov | 20c | 59.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 387 | 31.3%121 W · 266 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Ivan Gakhov | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Alexander Ritschard | 76c | 24.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 147 | 59.2%87 W · 60 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Alexander Ritschard | 70c | 19.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,109 | 48%532 W · 577 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd3…c489backed Alexander Ritschard | 77c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.