Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SK Nebula vs GIANTX GC - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa419b39d172e927914607ef7b3f4ff9a12bb08c667831a6cb12eec2b0e31056e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Nebulaof SK Nebula, GIANTX GC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed GIANTX GC | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed SK Nebula | 45c | 470.38$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.71 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked SK Nebula | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SK Nebula | 54c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.75 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SK Nebula | 48c | 196.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SK Nebula | 53c | 188$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked SK Nebula | 54c | 188$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.76 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SK Nebula | 54c | 171$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 571 | 51%291 W · 280 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked GIANTX GC | 10c | 124.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SK Nebula | 61c | 106.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked GIANTX GC | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed GIANTX GC | 34c | 97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed GIANTX GC | 34c | 94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed GIANTX GC | 62c | 86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…ceb9backed SK Nebula | 45c | 65.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed GIANTX GC | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…c4cbbacked SK Nebula | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked GIANTX GC | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 68.5%61 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SK Nebula | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX GC | 46c | 26.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed SK Nebula | 58c | 25.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs GIANTX GC - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: SK.N (-1.5) vs GIANTX GC (+1.5)SK Nebula won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group StageSK Nebula won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs GIANTX GC - Map 1 WinnerSK Nebula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.