Lol · resolved market
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs The Otter Side (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa41d6eeb938da16dd6ed55b5f3e1bbc646b8cdf36bc5ca2003fc571b37278b71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSof E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS, The Otter Side
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked The Otter Side | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed The Otter Side | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 62c | 1,226$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.26 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed The Otter Side | 15c | 1,087$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.05 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 1,040$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.49 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed The Otter Side | 16c | 937.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 224 | 52.7%118 W · 106 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked The Otter Side | 17c | 799.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked The Otter Side | 20c | 500$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 431 | 4.9%21 W · 410 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc890…c2ffbacked The Otter Side | 12c | 500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed The Otter Side | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed The Otter Side | 37c | 416.95$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.69 | 1,058 | 23.5%249 W · 809 L | -75.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 70c | 389$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.72 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked The Otter Side | 13c | 316.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed The Otter Side | 14c | 313.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked The Otter Side | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked The Otter Side | 6c | 277.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 77c | 271.53$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed The Otter Side | 12c | 267.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed The Otter Side | 17c | 263.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a74…ae2bbacked The Otter Side | 19c | 263.15$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 251.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked The Otter Side | 16c | 236.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked The Otter Side | 15c | 229.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed The Otter Side | 9c | 194.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed The Otter Side | 15c | 193.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 173 | 25.4%44 W · 129 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 61c | 191$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked The Otter Side | 11c | 163.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked The Otter Side | 26c | 120.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked The Otter Side | 43c | 116.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked The Otter Side | 17c | 111.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 320 | 53.8%172 W · 148 L | +21.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed The Otter Side | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed The Otter Side | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 584 | 37.2%217 W · 367 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed The Otter Side | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 221 | 46.6%103 W · 118 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked The Otter Side | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked The Otter Side | 28c | 76.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Otter Side | 26c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed The Otter Side | 33c | 63.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed The Otter Side | 17c | 59.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 61c | 26.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 358 | 44.4%159 W · 199 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked The Otter Side | 43c | 26.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 187 | 38.5%72 W · 115 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 360 | 40.6%146 W · 214 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 16.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.